TEM Publications and Reports

In press:

Hayes, D.J., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, T.J. Burnside, and J.M. Melillo (in press) The effects of land cover and land use change on the contemporary carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the Eurasian Arctic. Chapter 6 in: Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate (G. Gutman, P. Groisman, and Reissell, eds.). Springer.

2009

Balshi, M. S., A. D. McGuire, P. Duffy, M. Flannigan, D. W. Kicklighter and J. Melillo (2009) Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21^st century. Global Change Biology 15, 1491-1510, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01877.x.
Felzer, B. S., T. W. Cronin, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter and C. A. Schlosser (2009) Importance of carbon-nitrogen interactions and ozone on ecosystem hydrology during the 21^st century. Journal of Geophysical Research 114, G01020, doi: 10.1029/2008JG000826.
Jain, A., X. Yang, H. Kheshgi, A. D. McGuire, W. Post and D. Kicklighter (2009) Nitrogen attenuation of terrestrial carbon cycle response to global environmental factors. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 23, GB4028, doi: 10.1029/2009GB003519.
Lu, Y., Q. Zhuang, G. Zhou, A. Sirin, J. Melillo and D. Kicklighter (2009) Possible decline of the carbon sink in the Mongolian Plateau during the 21^st century. Environmental Research Letters 4, 045023 (8 pp), doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/4/4/045023.
Melillo, J. M., A. C. Gurgel, D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Reilly, T. W. Cronin, B. S. Felzer, S. Paltsev, C. A. Schlosser, A. P. Sokolov and X. Wang (2009) Unintended Environmental Consequences of a Global Biofuels Program. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 168. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt168.pdf).
Melillo, J. M., J. M. Reilly, D. W. Kicklighter, A. C. Gurgel, T. W. Cronin, S. Paltsev, B. S. Felzer, X. Wang, A. P. Sokolov and C. A. Schlosser (2009) Indirect emissions from biofuels: how important? Science 326, 1397-1399. [doi: 10.1126/science.1180251]. [Supporting Data]
Sokolov, A. P., P. H. Stone, C. E. Forest, R. Prinn, M. C. Sarofim, M. Webster, S. Paltsev, C. A. Schlosser, D. Kicklighter, S. Dutkiewicz, J. Reilly, C. Wang, B. Felzer, J. M. Melillo and H. D. Jacoby (2009). Probabilistic forecast for twenty-first-century climate based on uncertainties in emissions (without policy) and climate parameters. Journal of Climate 22, 5175-5204, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2863.1.
Sokolov, A. P., P. H. Stone, C. E. Forest, R. Prinn, M. C. Sarofim, M. Webster, S. Paltsev, C. A. Schlosser, D. Kicklighter, S. Dutkiewicz, J. Reilly, C. Wang, B. Felzer and H. D. Jacoby (2009) Probabilstic Forecast for 21^st Century Climate Based on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 169. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt169.pdf).
Webster, M., A. P. Sokolov, J. M. Reilly, C. E. Forest, S. Paltsev, A. Schlosser, C. Wang, D. Kicklighter, M. Sarofim, J. Melillo, R. G. Prinn and H. D. Jacoby (2009) Analysis of Climate Policy Targets under Uncertainty. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 180. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt180.pdf).
Xiao, J., Q. Zhuang, E. Liang, A.D. McGuire, A. Moody, D.W. Kicklighter, X. Shao and J.M. Melillo (2009) Twentieth century droughts and their impacts on terrestrial carbon cycling in China. Earth Interactions 13(10), 1-31, doi: 10.1175/2009EI275.1.

2008

Sokolov, A. P., D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, B. S. Felzer, C. A. Schlosser and T. W. Cronin (2008) Consequences of considering carbon-nitrogen interactions on the feedbacks between climate and the terrestrial carbon cycle. Journal of Climate 21, 3776-3796, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2038.1.
Tian, H., J. Liu, J. M. Melillo, M. Liu, D. Kicklighter, X. Yan and S. Pan (2008) The terrestrial carbon budget in East Asia: human and natural impacts. pp. 163-176. IN: Changes in the Human-Monsoon System of East Asia in the Context of Global Change. C. Fu, J. Freney and J. Steward (eds).World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., Singapore, Hackensack, London.

2007

Balshi, M. S., A. D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, J. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, E. Kasischke, C. Wirth, M. Flannigan, J. Harden, J. S. Clein, T. J. Burnside, J. McAllister, W. A. Kurz, M. Apps and A. Shvidenko (2007) The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: a process-based analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research 112, G02029, doi: 10.1029/2006JG000380.
Felzer, B. S., T. Cronin, J. M. Reilly, J. M. Melillo, and X. Wang (2007) Impacts of ozone on trees and crops. Comptes Rendus Geoscience 339, 784-798.
Prinn, R., J. Reilly, M. Sarofim, C. Wang and B. Felzer (2007) Effects of air pollution control on climate: results from an integrated assessment model. pp. 93-102. IN: Human-induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Assessment, M. E. Schlesinger, H. S. Kheshgi, J. Smith, F. C. de la Chesnaye, J. M. Reilly, T. Wilson, and C. Kolstad (eds). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
Reilly, J., B. Felzer, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, H. Tian and M. Asadoorian (2007) Prospects for biological carbon sinks in greenhouse gas emissions trading systems. pp. 115-142. IN: Greenhouse Gas Sinks, D. S. Reay, C. N. Hewitt, K. A. Smith and J. Grace (eds). CABI, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom.
Reilly, J., S. Paltsev, B. Felzer, X. Wang, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A. Sokolov and C. Wang (2007) Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide and ozone. Energy Policy 35, 5370-5383.
Ren, W., H. Tian, M. Liu, C. Zhang, G. Chen, S. Pan, B. Felzer and X. Xu (2007) Effects of tropospheric ozone pollution on net primary productivity and carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems of China. Journal of Geophysical Research 112, D22S09, doi: 10.1029/2007JD008521.
Schlosser, C. A., D. Kicklighter and A. Sokolov (2007) A Global Land System Framework for Integrated Climate-Change Assessments. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 147. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://globalchange.mit.edu/files/document/MITJPSPGC_Rpt147.pdf).
Sokolov, A. P., D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, B. Felzer, C. A. Schlosser and T.W. Cronin (2007) Consequences of Considering Carbon/Nitrogen Interactions on the Feedbacks Between Climate and the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 151. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://globalchange.mit.edu/pubs/abstract.php?publication_id=969).
Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer and S. Hu (2007) Net emissions of CH₄ and CO₂ in Alaska: implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget. Ecological Applications 17(1), 203-212.

2006

Brovkin, V., M. Claussen, E. Driesschaert, T. Fichefet, D. Kicklighter, M. F. Loutre, H. D. Matthews, N. Ramankutty, M. Schaeffer and A. Sokolov (2006) Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by six earth system models of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics 26(6), 587-600 (doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-0092-6).
Chen, H., H. Tian, M. Liu, J. Melillo, S. Pan and C. Zhang (2006) Effect of land-cover change on terrestrial carbon dynamics in the southern United States. Journal of Environmental Quality 35, 1533-1547 (doi: 10.2134/jeq2005.0198).
Euskirchen, E. S., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, Q. Zhuang, J. S. Clein, R. J. Dargaville, D. G. Dye, J. S. Kimball, K. C. McDonald, J. M. Melillo, V. E. Romanovsky and N. V. Smith (2006) Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems. Global Change Biology 12(4), 731-750, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01113.x.
Lü, A., H. Tian, M. Liu, J. Liu and J. M. Melillo (2006) Spatial and temporal patterns of carbon emissions from forest fires in China from 1950 to 2000. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, D05313, doi: 10.1029/2005JD006198.
Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, M. C. Sarofim, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, B. S. Felzer, A. Sokolov, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler and S. Hu (2006) CO₂ and CH₄ exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21^st century. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L17403, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026972.

2005

Felzer, B., J. Reilly, J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, M. Sarofim, C. Wang, R. Prinn and Q. Zhuang (2005) Future effects of ozone on carbon sequestration and climate change policy using a global biogeochemical model. Climatic Change 73, 345-373, doi: 10.1007/s10584-005-6776-4.
Liu, J., H. Tian, M. Liu, D. Zhuang, J. M. Melillo, and Z. Zhang (2005) China's changing landscape during the 1990s: large-scale land transformations estimated with satellite data. Geophysical Research Letters 32, L02405, doi: 10.1029/2004GL021649.
Prinn, R., J. Reilly, M. Sarofim, C. Wang and B. Felzer (2005) Effects of Air Pollution Control on Climate. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 118. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt118.pdf)
Sokolov, A.P., C.A. Schlosser, S. Dutkiewicz, S. Paltsev, D.W. Kicklighter, H.D. Jacoby, R.G. Prinn, C.E. Forest, J. Reilly, C. Wang, B. Felzer, M.C. Sarofim, J. Scott, P.H. Stone, J.M. Melillo and J. Cohen (2005) The MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) Version 2: Model Description and Baseline Evaluation. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 124. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/reports.html#r124)
Thompson, C.C., A.D. McGuire, J.S. Clein, F.S. Chapin III, and J. Beringer (2005) Net carbon exchange across the arctic tundra-boreal forest transition in Alaska 1981-2000. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 11, 805-827. doi: 10.1007/s11027-005-9016-3.

2004

Felzer, B., D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, C. Wang, Q. Zhuang and R. Prinn (2004) Effects of ozone on net primary production and carbon sequestration in the conterminous United States using a biogeochemistry model. Tellus 56B, 230-248.
Felzer, B., J. Reilly, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, C. Wang, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim and Q. Zhuang (2004) Past and Future Effects of Ozone on Net Primary Production and Carbon Sequestration Using a Global Biogeochemical Model. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 103. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/reports.html#r103)
Garcia-Montiel, D. C., J. M. Melillo, P. A. Steudler, H. Tian, C. Neill, D. W. Kicklighter, B. Feigl, M. Piccolo, C. C. Cerri (2004) Emissions of N₂O and CO₂ from terra firme forests in Rondônia, Brazil. Ecological Applications 14(4) Supplement, S214-S220
McGuire, A. D., M. Apps, F. S. Chapin III, R. Dargaville, M. D. Flannigan, E. S. Kasischke, D. Kicklighter, J. Kimball, W. Kurz, D. J. McCrae, K. McDonald, J. Melillo, R. Myneni, B. J. Stocks, D. L. Verbyla and Q. Zhuang (2004) Land cover disturbances and feedbacks to the climate system in Canada and Alaska. pp. 139-161. IN: Land Change Science: Observing, Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface. G. Gutman, A. C. Janetos, C. O. Justice, E. F. Moran, J. F. Mustard, R. R. Rindfuss, D. Skole, B. L. Turner II and M. A. Cochrane (eds). Dordrecht, Netherlands, Kluwer.
Pendall, E., S. Bridgham, P. J. Hanson, B. Hungate, D. W. Kicklighter, D. W. Johnson, B. E. Law, Y. Luo, J. P. Megonigal, M. Olsrud, M. G. Ryan and S. Wan (2004) Below-ground process responses to elevated CO₂and temperature: a discussion of observations, measurement methods, and models. New Phytologist 162: 311-322.
Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, A. D. McGuire, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer and S. Hu (2004) Methane fluxes between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere at northern high latitudes during the past century: a retrospective analysis with a process-based biogeochemistry model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18, GB3010, doi:10.1029/2004GB002239.
Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler, A. D. McGuire, B. S. Felzer and S. Hu (2004) A Process-based Analysis of Methane Exchanges Between Alaskan Terrestrial Ecosystems and the Atmosphere. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 104. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/reports.html#r104)

2003

Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, S. Pan, J. Liu, A. D. McGuire, B. Moore III (2003) Regional carbon dynamics in monsoon Asia and its implications for the global carbon cycle. Global and Planetary Change 37, 201-217, doi:10.1016/S0921-8181(02)00205-9.
Webster, M., C. Forest, J. Reilly, M. Babiker, D. Kicklighter, M. Mayer, R. Prinn, M. Sarofim, A. Sokolov, P. Stone and C. Wang (2003) Uncertainty analysis of climate change and policy response. Climatic Change. 61(3): 295-320.
Zhuang, Q., A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, J. S. Clein, R. J. Dargaville, D. W. Kicklighter, R. B. Myneni, J. Dong, V. E. Romanovsky, J. Harden and J. E. Hobbie (2003) Carbon cycling in extratropical terrestrial ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere during the 20th Century: A modeling analysis of the influences of soil thermal dynamics, Tellus, 55(B), 751-776.

2002

Clein, J.S., A. D. McGuire, X. Zhang, D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, S. C. Wofsy, P. G. Jarvis and J. M. Massheder (2002) Historical and projected carbon balance of mature black spruce ecosystems across North America: The role of carbon-nitrogen interactions. Plant and Soil 242(1),15-32.
Dargaville, R., A. D. McGuire and P. Rayner (2002) Estimates of large-scale fluxes in high latitudes from terrestrial biosphere models and an inversion of atmospheric CO₂ measurements. Climatic Change 55(2-3), 273-285.
Dargaville, R.J., M. Heimann, A. D. McGuire, I. C. Prentice, D. W. Kicklighter, F. Joos, J. S. Clein, G. Esser, J. Foley, J. Kaplan, R. A. Meier, J. M. Melillo, B. Moore III, N. Ramankutty, T. Reichenau, A. Schloss, S. Sitch, H. Tian, L. J. Williams and U. Wittenberg (2002) Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models with atmospheric CO₂ measurements: Results from transient simulations considering increasing CO₂, climate and land-use effects. Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 16(4), 1092, doi:10.1029/2001GB001426.
Felzer, B.S., D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, C. Wang, Q. Zhuang, R. G. Prinn (2002) Ozone Effects on Net Primary Production and Carbon Sequestration in the Conterminous United States Using a Biogeochemistry Model. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 90. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 23 p. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt90.pdf )
McGuire, A. D., C.Wirth, M. Apps, J. Beringer, J. Clein, H. Epstein, D. W. Kicklighter, J. Bhatii, F. S. Chapin III, B. de Groot, D. Efremov, W. Eugster, M. Fukuda, T. Gower, L. Hinzman, B. Huntley, G. J. Jia, E. Kasischke, J. M. Melillo, V. Romanovsky, A. Shvidenko, E. Vaganov and D. Walker (2002) Environmental variation, vegetation distribution, carbon dynamics, and water/energy exchange in high latitudes. Journal of Vegetation Science 13, 301-314.
Pan, Y., A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, S. Sitch and I. C. Prentice (2002) A biogeochemistry-based dynamic vegetation model and its application along a moisture gradient in the continental United States. Journal of Vegetation Science 13, 369-382.
Perez-Garcia, J., L. A. Joyce and A. D. McGuire (2002) Temporal uncertainties of integrated ecological/economic assessments at the global and regional scales. Forest Ecology and Management 162(1),105-115.
Perez-Garcia, J., L. A. Joyce, A. D. McGuire and X. Xiao (2002) Impacts of emissions controls on the global forest sector. Climate Change 54(4), 439-461.
Zhuang, Q., A. D. McGuire, K. P. O'Neill, J. W. Harden, V. E. Romanovsky and J. Yarie (2002) Modeling the soil thermal and carbon dynamics of a fire chronosequence in Interior Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research, 107, D1, 8147, doi:10.1029/2001JD001244. [print 108(D1), 2003].

2001

Amthor, J. S., J. M. Chen, J. S. Clein, S. E. Frolking, M. L. Goulden, R. F. Grant, J. S. Kimball, A. W. King, A. D. McGuire, N. T. Nikolov, C. S. Potter, S. Wang and S. C. Wofsy (2001) Boreal forest CO₂ exchange and evapotranspiration predicted by nine ecosystem process models: Intermodel comparisons and relationships to field measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(D24), 33,623 - 33,648.
Clark, D. A., S. Brown, D. W. Kicklighter, J. Q. Chambers, J. R. Thomlinson and J. Ni (2001) Measuring net primary production in forests: concepts and field methods. Ecological Applications 11(2), 356-370.
Clark, D. A., S. Brown, D. W. Kicklighter, J. Q. Chambers, J. R. Thomlinson, J. Ni and E. A. Holland (2001) Net primary production in tropical forests: an evaluation and synthesis of existing field data. Ecological Applications 11(2), 371-384.
Cramer, W., R. J. Olson, S. D. Prince, J. M. O. Scurlock and Members of the Global Primary Production Data Initiative (GPPDI). (2001) Global Productivity: Determining Present Patterns. pp. 429-448. IN: Terrestrial Global Productivity: Past, Present, Future. J. Roy, B. Saugier, and H. Mooney (eds). Academic Press.
McGuire, A. D., S. Sitch, J. S. Clein, R. Dargaville, G. Esser, J. Foley, M. Heimann, F. Joos, J. Kaplan, D. W. Kicklighter, R. A. Meier, J. M. Melillo, B. Moore III, I. C. Prentice, N. Ramankutty, T. Reichenau, A. Schloss, H. Tian, L. J. Williams and U. Wittenberg (2001) Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the twentieth century: analyses of CO₂, climate and land-use effects with four process-based ecosystem models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 15(1), 183-206.
Melillo, J. M., P. A. Steudler, B. J. Feigl , C. Neill, D. Garcia, M. C. Piccolo, C. C. Cerri and H. Tian (2001) Nitrous oxide emissions from forests and pastures of various ages in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(D24), 34,179-34,188.
Pan, Y., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, X. Xiao and A. D. McGuire (2001) Modeling structural and functional responses of terrestrial ecosystems in China to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂. Acta Phytoecologica Sinica 25(2), 175-189.
Potter, C. S., S. Wang, N. T. Nikolov, A. D. McGuire, J. Liu, A. W. King, J. S. Kimball, R. F. Grant, S. E. Frolking, J. S. Clein, J. M. Chen and J. S. Amthor (2001) Comparison of boreal ecosystem model sensitivity to variability in climate and forest site parameters. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(D24), 33,671 - 33,687.
Zhuang, Q., V. E. Romanovsky and A. D. McGuire (2001) Incorporation of a permafrost model into a large-scale ecosystem model: Evaluation of temporal and spatial scaling issues in simulating soil thermal dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research 106(D24), 33,648-33,670.

2000

Clein, J.S., B. L. Kwiatkowski, A. D. McGuire, J. E. Hobbie, E. B. Rastetter, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter (2000) Modeling carbon responses of moist tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: A comparison of fine- and coarse-scale ecosystem models for identification of process-based uncertainties. Global Change Biology 6 (Suppl. 1), 127-140.
Jackson, R. B., H. J. Schenk, E. G. Jobbagy, J. Canadell, G. D. Colello, R. E. Dickinson, C. B. Field, P. Friedlingstein, M. Heimann, K. Hibbard, D. W. Kicklighter, A. Kleidon, R. P. Neilson, W. J. Parton, O. E. Sala and M. T. Sykes (2000) Belowground consequences of vegetation change and their treatment in models. Ecological Applications 10, 470-483.
Jenkins, J.C., D. W. Kicklighter and J. D. Aber (2000) Regional impacts of increased CO₂ and climate change on forest productivity. pp. 383-423. IN: Responses of Northern U.S. Forests to Environmental Change, R. H. Mickler, R. A. Birdsey and J. Hom (eds). Springer-Verlag, New York.
Long J, (2000) A Parallel Implementation of the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM). M.S. Thesis. University of Alaska, Fairbanks.
McGuire, A. D., J. S. Clein, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, R. A. Meier, C. J. Vorosmarty and M. C. Serreze (2000) Modeling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: Sensitivity of pan-arctic carbon storage to temporal and spatial variation in climate. Global Change Biology 6 (Suppl. 1), 141-159.
McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, J. T. Randerson, W. J. Parton, M. Heimann, R. A. Meier, J. S. Clein, D. W. Kicklighter and W. Sauf (2000) Modeling the effects of snowpack on heterotrophic respiration across northern temperate and high latitude regions: Comparison with measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide in high latitudes. Biogeochemistry 48,91-114.
Schimel, D., J. Melillo, H. Tian, A. D. McGuire, D. Kicklighter, T. Kittel, N. Rosenbloom, S. Running, P. Thornton, D. Ojima, W. Parton, R. Kelly, M. Sykes, R. Neilson and B. Rizzo (2000) Contribution of increasing CO₂ and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States. Science 287, 2004-2006.
Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, J. Helfrich III, B. Moore III and C. J. Vörösmarty (2000) Climatic and biotic controls on annual carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems. Global Ecology and Biogeography 9, 315-336.

1999

Bondeau, A., D. W. Kicklighter, J. Kaduk J and the Participants of the Potsdam NPP Model Intercomparison (1999) Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Importance of vegetation structure on seasonal NPP estimates. Global Change Biology 5(Suppl. 1), 35-45.
Cramer, W., D. W. Kicklighter, A. Bondeau, B. Moore III, G. Churkina, B. Nemry, A. Ruimy, A. Schloss and the Participants of the Potsdam NPP Model Intercomparison (1999) Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Overview and key results. Global Change Biology 5(Suppl. 1), 1-15.
Jenkins, J. C., D. W. Kicklighter, S. V. Ollinger, J. D. Aber and J. M. Melillo (1999) Sources of variability in net primary production predictions at a regional scale: a comparison using PnET-II and TEM 4.0 in northeastern US forests. Ecosystems 2, 555-570.
Kicklighter, D. W., A. Bondeau, A. L. Schloss, J. Kaduk, A. D. McGuire and the Participants of the Potsdam NPP Model Intercomparison (1999) Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Global pattern and differentiation by major biomes. Global Change Biology 5(Suppl. 1), 16-24.
Kicklighter, D. W., M. Bruno, S. Dönges, G. Esser, M. Heimann, J. Helfrich, F. Ift, F. Joos, J. Kaduk, G. H. Kohlmaier, A. D. McGuire, J. M. Melillo, R. Meyer, B. Moore III, A. Nadler, I. C. Prentice, W. Sauf, A. L. Schloss, S. Sitch, U. Wittenberg and G. Würth (1999) A first-order analysis of the potential role of CO₂ fertilization to affect the global carbon budget: A comparison study of four terrestrial biosphere models. Tellus 51B, 343-366.
Nungesser, M. K., L. A. Joyce and A. D. McGuire (1999) Effects of spatial aggregation on prediction of forest climate change response. Climate Research 11, 109-124.
Prinn, R., H. Jacoby, A. Sokolov, C. Wang, X. Xiao, Z. Yang, R. Eckaus, P. Stone, D. Ellerman, J. Melillo, J. Fitzmaurice, D. Kicklighter, G. Holian and Y. Liu (1999) Integrated global system model for climate policy assessment: Feedbacks and sensitivity studies. Climatic Change 41(3/4), 469-546.
Reilly, J., R. Prinn, J. Harnisch, J. Fitzmaurice, H. Jacoby, D. Kicklighter, J. Melillo, P. Stone, A. Sokolov and C. Wang (1999) Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol. Nature 401, 549-555.
Reilly, J., R. G. Prinn, J. Harnisch, J. Fitzmaurice, H. D. Jacoby, D. Kicklighter, P. H. Stone, A. P. Sokolov and C. Wang (1999) Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol. MIT Joint Program on Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 45. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 14 p.
Schloss, A. L., D. W. Kicklighter, J. Kaduk, U. Wittenberg and the Participants of the Potsdam NPP Model Intercomparison (1999). Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): Comparison of NPP to climate and the normalized difference vegetation index. Global Change Biology 5(Suppl. 1), 25-34.
Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire and J. Helfrich (1999) The sensitivity of terrestrial carbon storage to historical climate variability and atmospheric CO₂ in the United States. Tellus 51B, 414-452.
Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, B. Moore III and C. J. Vörösmarty (1999) Parameters for global ecosystem models: Reply. Nature 399, 536.
Xiao, X., C. J. Vörösmarty, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, H. Tian, A. D. McGuire, Y. Pan and Z. Yang (1999) Tre scenari per il XXI secolo: Cambiamento di clima e agricoltura. Sistema Terra 8, 96-110.(in Italian)

1998

Heimann, M., G. Esser, A. Haxeltine, J. Kaduk, D. W. Kicklighter, W. Knorr, G. H. Kohlmaier, A. D. McGuire, J. Melillo, B. Moore, R. D. Otto, I. C. Prentice, W. Sauf, A. Schloss, S. Sitch, U. Wittenberg and G. Würth (1998) Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models through simulations of the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO₂: First results of a model intercomparison study. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 12, 1-24.
Pan, Y., J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, L. F. Pitelka, K. Hibbard, L. L. Pierce, S. W. Running, D. S. Ojima, W. J. Parton, D. S. Schimel and other VEMAP Members (1998) Modeled responses of terrestrial ecosystems to elevated atmospheric CO₂: A comparison of simulations by the biogeochemistry models of the Vegetation/Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project (VEMAP). Oecologia 114, 389-404.
Tian, H., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, J. V. K. Helfrich III, B. Moore III and C. J. Vörösmarty CJ (1998) Effect of interannual climate variability on carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems. Nature 396, 664-667.
Xiao, X., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, R. G. Prinn, C. Wang, P. H. Stone, A. Sokolov (1998) Transient climate change and net ecosystem production of the terrestrial biosphere. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 12, 345-360.
Xiao, X., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, A. D. McGuire, J. Helfrich (1998) Net primary production of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its equilibrium responses to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration. Acta Phytoecologica Sinica 22(2), 97-118.

1997

McGuire, A. D., and J. E. Hobbie (1997) Global climate change and the equilibrium responses of carbon storage in arctic and subarctic regions. pp. 47-48. IN: Arctic System Science Modeling Workshop Report. The Arctic Research Consortium of the United States. Fairbanks, Alaska.
McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, X. Xiao, J. Helfrich, B. Moore III, C. J. Vorosmarty and A. L. Schloss (1997) Equilibrium responses of global net primary production and carbon storage to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide: Sensitivity to changes in vegetation nitrogen concentration. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 11, 173-189.
Perez-Garcia, J., L. A. Joyce, C. S. Binkley, A. D. McGuire (1997) Economic impacts of climatic change on the global forest sector: an integrated ecological/economic assessment. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology 27, S123-S138.
Schimel, D.S., VEMAP Participants and B. H. Braswell (1997) Continental scale variability in ecosystem processes: Models, data and the role of disturbance. Ecological Monographs 67, 251-271.
Xiao, X., D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, P. H. Stone and A. P. Sokolov (1997) Linking a global terrestrial biogeochemical model and a 2-dimensional climate model: implications for the carbon budget. Tellus 49B, 18-37.
Xiao, X., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, H. Tian, Y. Pan, C. J. Vorosmarty and Z. Yang (1997) Transient climate change and potential croplands of the world in the 21st century. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 18. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 28 p. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/rpt18.html)

1996

McGuire, A. D., D. W. Kicklighter and J. M. Melillo (1996) Global climate change and carbon cycling in grasslands and conifer forests. pp. 389-411. IN: Global Change: Effects on Coniferous Forests and Grasslands, SCOPE Volume 56, A.I. Breymeyer, D.O. Hall, J.M. Melillo and G.I. Egren (eds). John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, United Kingdom.
Melillo, J. M., R. A. Houghton, D. W. Kicklighter and A. D. McGuire (1996) Tropical deforestation and the global carbon budget. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment 21, 293-310.
Pan, Y., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo (1996) The importance of climate and soils for estimates of net primary production: a sensitivity analysis with the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model. Global Change Biology 2, 5-23.
Prinn, R., H. Jacoby, A. Sokolov, C. Wang, X. Xiao, Z. Yang, R. Eckaus, P. Stone, D. Ellerman, J. Melillo, J. Fitzmaurice, D. Kicklighter, Y. Liu and G. Holian (1996) Integrated global system model for climate policy analysis: I. Model framework and sensitivity studies. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 7. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 76 p. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/reports.html#rpr99_4)
Steudler, P. A., J. M. Melillo, B. J. Feigl, C. Neill, M. C. Piccolo and C. C. Cerri (1996) Consequence of forest-to-pasture conversion on CH₄ fluxes in the Brazilian Amazon Basin. Journal of Geophysical Research 101, 18,547-18,554.
Xiao, X., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, P. H. Stone and A. P. Sokolov (1996) Relative roles of changes in CO₂ and climate to equilibrium responses of net primary production and carbon storage of the terrestrial biosphere. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 8. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 34 p. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt8.pdf)
Xiao, X., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, Y. Pan, A. D. McGuire and J. Helfrich (1996) Net primary production of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its equilibrium responses to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 12. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 26 p. (see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/MITJPSPGC_Rpt12.pdf)

1995

Aber, J. D., S. V. Ollinger, C. A. Federer, P. B. Reich, M. L. Goulden, D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo and R. G. Lathrop Jr. (1995) Predicting the effects of climate change on water yield and forest production in the northeastern U.S. Climate Research 5, 207-222.
Joyce, L. A., J. Mills, L. Heath, A. D. McGuire, R. W. Haynes and R. A. Birdsey (1995) Forest sector impacts from changes in forest productivity under climate change. Journal of Biogeography 22, 703-713.
Kittel, T. G. F., N. A. Rosenbloom, T. H. Painter, D. S. Schimel and VEMAP Modeling Participants (1995) The VEMAP integrated database for modeling United States ecosystem/vegetation sensitivity to climate change. Journal of Biogeography 22, 857-862.
McGuire, A. D., and L. A. Joyce (1995) Responses of net primary production to changes in CO₂ and climate. pp. 9-45. IN: Productivity of America?s Forests and Climate Change, L. A. Joyce (ed). General Technical Report No. 271 of the USDA Forest Service Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experimental Station, Ft. Collins, CO. 70p.
McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, L. A. Joyce (1995) The role of nitrogen in the response of forest net primary production to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 26, 473-503.
McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter and L. A. Joyce (1995) Equilibrium responses of soil carbon to climate change: Empirical and process-based estimates. Journal of Biogeography 22, 785-796.
Melillo, J. M. (1995) Human influences on the global nitrogen budget and their implications for the global carbon budget. pp. 117-133. IN: Toward Global Planning of Sustainable Use of the Earth: Development of Global Eco-Engineering, edited by Murai S. Elsevier, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Melillo, J. M., D. W. Kicklighter, A. D. McGuire, W. T. Peterjohn, K. M. Newkirk (1995) Global change and its effects on soil organic carbon stocks. pp. 175-189. IN: Role of Nonliving Organic Matter in the Earth?s Carbon Cycle, R. G. Zepp and Ch. Sonntag (eds). John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.
Moraes, J. L., C. C. Cerri, J. M. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, C. Neill, D. L. Skole and P. A. Steudler (1995) Soil carbon stocks of the Brazilian Amazon basin. Soil Science Society of America Journal 59, 244-247.
VEMAP Members (1995) Vegetation/ecosystem modeling and analysis project: comparing biogeography and biogeochemistry models in a continental-scale study of terrestrial ecosystem responses to climate change and CO₂ doubling. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 9, 407-437.
Xiao, X., D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, P. H. Stone and A. P. Sokolov (1995) Responses of primary production and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration. MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Report No. 3. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts. 20 p. ( see also http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/reports.html#rpr97_3).

1994

Kicklighter, D. W., J. M. Melillo, W. T. Peterjohn, E. B. Rastetter, A. D. McGuire and P. A. Steudler (1994) Aspects of spatial and temporal aggregation in estimating regional carbon dioxide fluxes from temperate forest soils. Journal of Geophysical Research 99, 1303-1315.
Melillo, J. M. (1994) Modeling land-atmosphere interactions: a short review. pp. 387-409 IN: Changes in Land Use and Land Cover: A Global Perspective, edited by Meyer WB, Turner II BL. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

1993

McGuire, A. D., L. A. Joyce, D. W. Kicklighter, J. M. Melillo, G. Esser and C. J. Vorosmarty (1993) Productivity response of climax temperate forests to elevated temperature and carbon dioxide: a North American comparison between two global models. Climatic Change 24, 287-310.
Melillo, J. M., A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, B. Moore III, C. J. Vorosmarty and A. L. Schloss (1993) Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature 363, 234-240.

1992

McGuire, A. D., J. M. Melillo, L. A. Joyce, D. W. Kicklighter, A. L. Grace, B. Moore III and C. J. Vorosmarty CJ (1992) Interactions between carbon and nitrogen dynamics in estimating net primary productivity for potential vegetation in North America. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 6, 101-124.

1991

Raich, J. W., E. B. Rastetter, J. M. Melillo, D. W. Kicklighter, P. A. Steudler, B. J. Peterson, A. L. Grace, B. Moore III and C. J. Vorosmarty (1991) Potential net primary productivity in South America: application of a global model. Ecological Applications 1, 399-429.

1989

Vörösmarty, C. J., B. Moore III, A. L. Grace, M. P. Gildea, J. M. Melillo, B. J. Peterson, E. B. Rastetter and P. A. Steudler (1989) Continental scale models of water balance and fluvial transport: an application to South America. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 3, 241-265.